The main cause of cervical cancer is a virus called high-risk human papillomavirus (HPV). High-risk HPV sometimes causes changes in the cells of the cervix, which can develop into cervical cancer. On average this happens slowly, between about 5 and 20 years.
Knowing about risks can be helpful, as it can help you understand more about what you can and can’t control. But it is important to remember that having any or all of the risks we talk about on this page does not mean you will definitely develop cervical cancer.
On this page:
- Lifetime risk of cervical cancer >
- High-risk HPV and cervical cancer >
- Risks that are not related to high-risk HPV >
- Risks that are related to high-risk HPV >
- Ways to lower the risk of cervical cancer >
- More information about risks and causes of cervical cancer >
Lifetime risk of cervical cancer
Your exact lifetime risk of cervical cancer will depend on your individual life and situation.
In the UK, less than 1 in 100 (less than 1%) women and people with a cervix will develop cervical cancer in their lifetime. That means that more than 99 in 100 (more than 99%) women and people with a cervix will not develop cervical cancer. This takes into account advances in healthcare, including cervical screening (smear tests) and treatment for cervical cell changes (abnormal cells).
Research predicts that someone who did not have the HPV vaccine and never went to cervical screening would have a lifetime risk of about 2 in 100 (about 2%).
High-risk HPV and cervical cancer
Cervical cancer is usually caused by a virus called high-risk HPV.
What is high-risk HPV?
There are over 200 types of HPV that can be broadly split into:
- low-risk types – may cause either harmless conditions, such as warts, or no problems that we know about.
- high-risk types – may cause cancer to develop.
14 HPV types are considered high-risk. High-risk HPV is linked to almost all (99.7%) cervical cancers.
HPV is common – about 8 in 10 (80%) people will have it at some point in their lives. But cervical cancer itself is not common, which means that having high-risk HPV does not mean you will definitely develop cervical cancer.
The risks for getting high-risk HPV and for developing cervical cancer are similar. Most researchers believe that the risks can be considered the same, as high-risk HPV causes almost all cervical cancers.
We have a detailed section about HPV, including its link to cervical cancer, on another section of our website. You may find it helpful to find through this section, as it might answer any questions you have.
Cervical cancers that are not caused by HPV
Fewer than 1 in 10 (0.3%) cervical cancers cannot be linked to high-risk HPV. You may hear these called HPV-negative cervical cancers.
We need more research to understand why some cervical cancers are not linked to high-risk HPV.
Risks that are not related to high-risk HPV
Research states that having high-risk HPV alone is not enough for cervical cancer to develop – there are usually other risks working in combination with high-risk HPV. We talk through these risks in this section.
Having an increased risk does not mean you will definitely develop cervical cancer. But they can be helpful to know, because you may decide to take action to lower your risk.