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The main cause of cervical cancer is a virus called high-risk human papillomavirus (HPV). High-risk HPV sometimes causes changes in the cells of the cervix, which can develop into cervical cancer. On average this happens slowly, between about 5 and 20 years.
Knowing about risks can be helpful, as it can help you understand more about what you can and can’t control. But it is important to remember that having any or all of the risks we talk about on this page does not mean you will definitely develop cervical cancer.
On this page:
Your exact lifetime risk of cervical cancer will depend on your individual life and situation.
In the UK, less than 1 in 100 (less than 1%) women and people with a cervix will develop cervical cancer in their lifetime. That means that more than 99 in 100 (more than 99%) women and people with a cervix will not develop cervical cancer. This takes into account advances in healthcare, including cervical screening (smear tests) and treatment for cervical cell changes (abnormal cells).
Research predicts that someone who did not have the HPV vaccine and never went to cervical screening would have a lifetime risk of about 2 in 100 (about 2%).
Cervical cancer is usually caused by a virus called high-risk HPV.
There are over 200 types of HPV that can be broadly split into:
14 HPV types are considered high-risk. High-risk HPV is linked to almost all (99.7%) cervical cancers.
HPV is common – about 8 in 10 (80%) people will have it at some point in their lives. But cervical cancer itself is not common, which means that having high-risk HPV does not mean you will definitely develop cervical cancer.
The risks for getting high-risk HPV and for developing cervical cancer are similar. Most researchers believe that the risks can be considered the same, as high-risk HPV causes almost all cervical cancers.
We have a detailed section about HPV, including its link to cervical cancer, on another section of our website. You may find it helpful to find through this section, as it might answer any questions you have.
Fewer than 1 in 10 (0.3%) cervical cancers cannot be linked to high-risk HPV. You may hear these called HPV-negative cervical cancers.
We need more research to understand why some cervical cancers are not linked to high-risk HPV.
Research states that having high-risk HPV alone is not enough for cervical cancer to develop – there are usually other risks working in combination with high-risk HPV. We talk through these risks in this section.
Having an increased risk does not mean you will definitely develop cervical cancer. But they can be helpful to know, because you may decide to take action to lower your risk.
In the UK, about 2 in 10 (20%) of cervical cancers are linked to smoking .
Smoking tobacco is linked to a higher risk of developing cell changes or cervical cancer. Research shows that smoking doubles your risk of developing cervical cancer. If we take lifetime risk as an example, it would increase from less than 1 in 100 (less than 1%) to about 2 in 100 (about 2%) in someone who currently smokes, compared with someone who has never smoked .
There is limited research about the risk of breathing in smoke from someone else’s cigarette. This is sometimes called passive smoking or second-hand smoking. However, the research we do have suggest that it may increase the risk of developing cervical cancer.
Smoking affects your risk in different ways:
The exact risk depends on how long you have smoked for and the number of cigarettes you smoke per day.
This might sound alarming, but remember that cervical cancer itself is rare. If you would like to stop smoking, the NHS has programmes to support you:
Some conditions can affect your immune system. These can make your body less able to fight off HPV infections, and make cell changes and cervical cancer more likely to develop if you have high-risk HPV.
We are not experts in auto-immune conditions, so it is important to speak with your GP or healthcare team for more information or support.
HIV is the only condition where there is an official recommendation to have more regular cervical screening. If you have HIV you should go for cervical screening every year.
This is done outside of the regular NHS Cervical Screening Programme. Check with your GP or the healthcare team managing the HIV about how to make appointments.
In the UK, about 1 in 10 (10%) cervical cancers are linked to taking the contraceptive pill.
There is limited good quality research about the link between taking the pill and cervical cancer. The research that we have suggests that taking the pill for 5 years increases the risk of cervical cancer by about 2%. Evidence shows that risk can increase after taking the pill for more than 5 years. Experts don’t fully understand the reasons behind this yet .
Once you stop taking the pill, this increased risk returns to normal within about 5 years .
It is important to remember that the benefits of taking the pill often outweigh the risks. These benefits include:
If you take the pill and are worried, it is important to speak with your GP or practice nurse. They can help answer any questions, as well as talk through your options. You do not need more regular cervical screening if you take the pill.
Doctors used to prescribe medicine to some pregnant women who had miscarriages or gave birth early (premature delivery). This medicine was called diethylstilbestrol (DES). It was given to some pregnant women from 1938 until 1971.
If your mother was given DES while she was pregnant with you, you have a higher risk of developing a type of cervical cancer called clear cell cervical cancer. It is sometimes called cervical clear cell adenocarcinoma (CCA).
In real numbers, this risk looks like about 1 in every 750 (0.13%) people exposed to DES developing CCA up to age 50.
It is not usually recommended that you have more regular cervical screening. Instead, you will get invitations every 1, 3 or 5 years from age 25, depending on your results and where you live.
Exposure to DES can cause changes to cells in the cervix and vagina. This is sometimes called vaginal adenosis. These cell changes may not cause any problems, but if you have them, your healthcare team may suggest you have cervical screening that looks for cell changes annually. This method of testing the cells is called cytology.
This test would be done in a colposcopy department at a hospital, outside of the National Cervical Screening Programme. Check with your GP or healthcare team about how to make appointments.
If you are the granddaughter of someone who was given DES, evidence shows you are not at an increased risk of cervical cancer.
There are some things that mean you have a greater chance of getting high-risk HPV and, as a result, have an increased risk of developing cervical cancer. This is sometimes called an indirect risk.
The risks we talk through in this section aren’t yet fully understood by experts. But the current research suggests they are probably linked to high-risk HPV.
Currently, HPV is most prevalent in teenagers, with a peak at about age 25. This is most likely why cervical cancer is most common in women and people with a cervix under the age of 45.
In the future, research predicts that cervical cancer will be most common in women and people with a cervix aged 55 and older. This is mostly because of the HPV vaccine that is offered to teenagers. It will help prevent certain high-risk HPV types and mean that less younger women and people with a cervix get high-risk HPV and develop cervical cancer.
You have an increased risk of high-risk HPV and developing cervical cancer if:
If you have had sex with more than 3 people, you have an increased risk of getting high-risk HPV types 16 and 18. These types cause about 7 in 10 (70%) cervical cancers. Many people have sex with more than 3 people during their life, so it is nothing to be embarrassed or ashamed about. It simply means there is more chance of coming into contact with high-risk HPV.
Being pregnant and giving birth has been linked to an increased risk of cervical cancer, including being under age 17 when you had your first child or children.
There is not enough research about why risk is increased with pregnancy and childbirth. There is a theory that hormone changes during pregnancy could make the cells in your cervix more likely to hold onto high-risk HPV.
There is no evidence that cervical cancer is hereditary. This means it is not passed down by a faulty gene, like some breast or ovarian cancers can be. You can develop cervical cancer even if no one else in your family has had it. Or you might not develop cervical cancer, even if someone else in your family has had it.
There is limited research to show that if someone you have a close family relationship with had cervical cancer, your risk of developing it is slightly increased. This could be your mother, sister or grandmother. We don’t know the exact reason for this, but it may be because you share some risks with other people in your family, such as:
You do not need more regular cervical screening if a close family member has had cervical cancer.
Although the average lifetime risk of cervical cancer is already low, there are things you can do that may lower it even more.
Cervical screening can find high-risk HPV and cell changes which may develop into cervical cancer. It means you can have treatment or monitoring to prevent cervical cancer from developing.
It’s your choice whether to go for cervical screening and we know that it isn’t always easy. If you want to go but are worried, we have more detailed information that may help. You might also want to give our free Helpline a call on 0808 802 8000, so our trained volunteers can talk through the appointment with you and offer some useful tips.
If you are under 25, you might be able to get the HPV vaccine for free. Some people over this age are also eligible for a free vaccine. You might also be able to pay privately for a vaccine.
Using condoms or dental dams don’t completely protect against high-risk HPV. This is because it can live on the skin in and around the whole genital area – not just the part the condom or dental dams cover. But research has shown they offer some protection.
We know risks and causes can be worrying to read about, especially if you are already feeling anxious about developing cervical cancer. It’s important to remember that cervical cancer itself is rare. If you want to talk things through, you can give our free Helpline a call on 0808 802 8000. Our trained volunteers can help explain more about HPV or simply listen to what’s going on.
Sometimes connecting with others who have similar questions or concerns can be helpful. Our online Forum lets our community give and get support. You can read through the messages or post your own – whichever feels most comfortable.
Thank you to all the experts who checked the accuracy of this information, and the volunteers who shared their personal experience to help us develop it.
We write our information based on literature searches and expert review. For more information about the references we used, please contact [email protected]